Many gurus alert specific trade entries and exits. I have no desire to ever do that. I feel like my entry/exit game is one of the parts of trading I have the most to grow in. (If I have time, I share when I enter or exit if I feel like it might be helpful to people.)
However, what I do find easy to do is share updates on the commons-only portfolios I manage at the end of each trading day. Sharing one’s actual portfolio construction and performance is extremely rare in the stock trading guru world, but I feel like it’s very helpful. And it’s an easy way to quickly share an overall view of my convictions and emphases.
This is different than my options portfolio. I feel like I am still in the process of learning how to trade options and I don’t feel confident enough to recommend that you follow these trades, though I do often share the individual trades anyway. My options portfolio is a small fraction of the size of the commons portfolios.
For this time, I will go over my fundamental or technical theses for each of the top 9 picks.
RAAQ
RAAQ is just a place to park cash very near to SPAC NAV, with an industry team in a hot sector:
CCCX / CCCXW
Infleqtion has a keynote at the Nvidia AI GTC conference. They’ve repeatedly hinted that the revelations will be very surprising. Nvidia has said too many positive things about integrating CUDA into Infleqtion’s QC to list them all. You can look at the below tweet by The Undefined Mystic, but you really ought to read every tweet where he mentioned the ticker. @PennyCheck is an absolute elite follow on FinTwit and I owe a large amount of my portfolio’s outperformance to his DD.
MSOX / MSOS
You can read my whole AI DD report on the likelihood of the Trump Administration rescheduling marijuana from Schedule I to Schedule III before the end of the year. I believe it is imminent, it’s only been delayed due to shutdown.
CONL / COIN
This is one of the best technical setups in the stock market right now and they have earnings Thursday which will likely be the spark. The repeated pop-above, pop-under action for the critical $368.90 level is extremely bullish. In setups like these, I find the TA is simply presaging the fundamental news that will send this. (And there’s no shortage of likely fundamental catalysts.)
Gregory is one of the best TA guys I know with a unique set of procedures for finding very explosive stocks. And he is mega-long and excited about this setup:
CODI
For more DD, check out @PennyCheck’s posts
BB
I love the chart and @ChartShark22 is seeing tape targets of $30 to $100.
This kind of EPS flipping from years of negative to breakeven and projected profits is the kind of inflection point that has made me so much money in the past as a stock breaks out of its secular downtrend and a fundamental re-rating occurs. Blackberry has finally executed a turnaround, shedding distractions, being disciplined with capex and opex, and building an incredible roster of customers using their secure, stable embedded OS for mission-critical devices.
CRCL / CRCG
Absolutely bonkers 200% OTM call flow:
The below tweet is not by one of my vetted, trusted traders with a great track record, but he did a good job of summarizing the thesis of this trade:
I would add the increasing the usage of stablecoins is a Trump Administration priority because it’s a revolutionary technology that increases demand for USD for international trade settlement. But most importantly, they’re backed by T-bills, which given growing demand for stablecoins, has become a significant downward pressure on USG borrowing rates and a replacement for the shrinking pool of USG bond purchasers. So I could see a “surprise” announcement of USG support at any time that would absolutely send this.
LUNR
This company is by far the leading candidate to get a NASA contract worth more than 2x its current market cap. Execs have expressed confidence in this on earnings calls and I’ve confirmed with a NASA engineer that the company’s assertions are not hot air. Below is the best tweet, but you really need to read them all.
RXRX
Here’s the best DD thread from a great DD guy:
I also adore the chart:
This is the exact chart and story that has made me so much money over the years. And we still have a great entry here.
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